Positives: Luck has good size, good mobility and athletic ability, good arm strength, impressive accuracy, he makes good decisions, has a clean release, and good mechanics. He has two years of experience in a pro style offense and is very intelligent and has great intangibles. He is without a doubt the #1 QB in this draft class if he comes out, and he is on par with Matt Ryan and Mark Sanchez as far as overall draft grade.
Negatives: There aren’t a lot of things wrong with Luck’s game, but there are some things that I noticed and had problems with when watching him. First, he doesn’t have the best pocket poise. Especially off of play action he tends to panic and start to scramble if his first or second read isn’t there, and he will throw off balance in these situations. Whether it is off of his back foot or while he is scrambling (even across his body occasionally) he will throw passes without setting his feet which I don’t like to see. He needs to work on his pocket presence. I don’t know if he has a problem feeling the pressure, but he just needs to learn to step up into the pocket and buy time by side-stepping the rush, instead of pulling the ball down to scramble. He also needs to be coached to not throw off of his back foot as often as he does. He also doesn’t have elite arm strength. He has great zip on passes to about 20-25 yards, but when he tries to throw a deep ball he sometimes under threw passes and put a lot of air under them. That is something he needs to work on.
Overall: Luck is a very good QB prospect and is definitely the best QB prospect in this draft class. I really like him as a prospect, but he needs to improve his pocket poise, his footwork and I would like to see him work on his play-action reads and throws more because he just looks uncomfortable when his first or second read isn’t there on play-action. He panics and starts to scramble instead of being patient in the pocket at times. I don’t know if he will be automatically ready to start from day one like Ryan and Sanchez were, but there is a good chance he will. I think he could have a similar or better year than Sanchez did if that were the case.
Projection: Top 3. There is almost no way he slides out of the top 3, and frankly I’d be surprised if he wasn’t the #1 overall selection. I think he will have a solid rookie season if asked to play right away, but forcing him into action too soon may hinder his development especially when it comes to throwing off of his back foot and improving his pocket poise.
1-poor, 2-weak, 3-above average, 4-very good, 5-elite
ARM STRENGTH: 3.5
DECISION MAKING: 3.5
POCKET AWARENESS: 3.0